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Risk Management

Asymmetry of Recovery (Mathematical Trap)

The mathematical fact that the percentage gain required to recover from a loss is exponentially higher than the percentage lost. For example, a 50% loss requires a 100% gain just to break even.

How to Do It

Establish an absolute rule to never risk more than 2% of total capital on a single trade.

Effect

Physically prevents the equity curve from falling into an "unrecoverable zone" (e.g., >50% drawdown) even after consecutive losses.

How to Use

1. Define max allowable drawdown (e.g., 20%)
2. Calculate position size using the 1% rule
3. Halve trading size if drawdown reaches 10%

※This diagnosis is for self-understanding only. It is not investment advice or a solicitation. All trading decisions are your own responsibility.

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